Navigating Energy Security & Resilience in Uncertain Times

Duration: 1 Hour

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday, 2pm UK time 

Executive Summary

Escalating tensions in the Middle East present evolving risks to oil supply security, derivatives markets, and global energy stability. This executive briefing assesses the potential implications across short, medium, and long-term horizons, focusing on market volatility, operational exposure, and resilience strategies. The session will provide decision-makers with a concise overview of current developments, scenario-based analysis, and practical contingencies to manage uncertainty.

Current Situation

• Regional tensions and potential escalation pathways
• Risks to critical shipping lanes and energy infrastructure
• Market reactions in crude, refined products, and derivatives
• Emerging policy and regulatory considerations

Scenario Outlook

• Short Term: Immediate market volatility, transportation risks, pricing shocks

• Medium Term: Supply chain adjustments, insurance implications, financial hedging pressures

• Long Term: Structural shifts in energy security strategies, diversification, and resilience investments

Impacts on Markets, Business and Society

• Oil price fluctuations and derivatives exposure
• Disruption to global logistics and industrial supply chains
• Insurance market responses and risk pricing
• Inflationary pressures and economic ripple effects
• Energy affordability and societal resilience consideration

What to Expect from the 1-Hour Briefing

• Understanding of energy security dynamics across the region 
• Scenario analysis across multiple time horizons to anticipate and navigate uncertainty 
• Assessment of primary and secondary impacts on global markets and operations 
• Actionable insights on contingency planning and resilience measures

Speakers

Moderator: Richard FitzHugh — Deputy Chair, UN Disaster Risk Reduction - Corporate Chief Resilience Officers Network

Panelists:

• Chris Hulatt — Founder, Octopus Group
• Senior Insurance Executive — Swiss Re (TBC)
• Prof. Danny Ralph — Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
• James Crask — Marsh Risk Consulting
• Elias Scafidas — Rio Tinto

Agenda at a Glance

00:00 – 00:05 | Welcome and opening remarks
00:05 – 00:15 | Current situation overview: geopolitical developments and energy exposure
00:15 – 00:30 | Scenario analysis: short, medium, and long-term outlooks
00:30 – 00:45 | Market, business, and societal impacts (primary and secondary effects)
00:45 – 00:55 | Contingencies and resilience strategies for organizations
00:55 – 01:00 | Key takeaways and closing remarks